viernes, 17 de marzo de 2017

(22) Trump's navy plan requires government funding and workers | Daily Mail Online




Trump's plan for a 350-ship Navy 'would take 30 years and cost $700BILLION'

President Trump's plan to increase the Navy's size to 350 ships would cost nearly $700bn in government funding, take 30 years to complete and require the hiring of tens of thousands of skilled shipyard workers, experts told Reuters. 
Trump says he wants to build dozens of new warships in one of the biggest peace-time expansions of the U.S. Navy. 
Ship-builders, unions and a review of public and internal documents show major obstacles to Trump's plan, including the hiring of at least 10,000 workers, many of whom don't exist yet because they still need to be hired and trained.
Trump has vowed a huge build-up - including the expansion of the Navy to 350 warships, from 275 today - of the U.S. military to project American power in the face of an emboldened China and Russia. 
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Donald Trump hopes to greatly increase size of the US Navy. His plans, experts say, would take 30 years and would involve the Navy purchasing 321 new ships from now until 2046. He hopes to combat the might of China and Russia. Pictured: A Russian and Chinese naval joint drill
Experts said Trump's plans could cost as much as $700bn in government funding and would require at least 10,000 skilled workers who would require training. Pictured: Trump signing an executive action to 'rebuild' the U.S. Military in January
Experts said Trump's plans could cost as much as $700bn in government funding and would require at least 10,000 skilled workers who would require training. Pictured: Trump signing an executive action to 'rebuild' the U.S. Military in January
Trump has provided no specifics, including how soon he wants the larger fleet.
The Navy has given Defense Secretary Jim Mattis a report that explores how the country's industrial base could support higher ship production, Admiral Bill Moran, the vice chief of Naval Operations with oversight of the Navy´s shipbuilding outlook, told Reuters.
He declined to give further details. But those interviewed for this story say there are clearly two big issues - there are not enough skilled workers in the market, from electricians to welders, and after years of historically low production, shipyards and their suppliers, including nuclear fuel producers, will struggle to ramp up for years.
To be sure, the first, and biggest, hurdle for Trump to overcome is to persuade a cost-conscious Congress to fund the military buildup.
The White House declined to comment. A Navy spokeswoman said increases being considered beyond the current shipbuilding plan would require 'sufficient time' to allow companies to ramp up capacity.
The Navy has given a report to Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, pictured right with Trump, on how the U.S.'s industrial base could support Trump's proposed naval expansion. Critics say there are neither enough skilled workers on the market nor enough building infrastructure
The Navy has given a report to Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, pictured right with Trump, on how the U.S.'s industrial base could support Trump's proposed naval expansion. Critics say there are neither enough skilled workers on the market nor enough building infrastructure
Trump has not provided specifics about his plan to increase the size of the U.S. Navy, though two shipbuilders - General Dynamics Corps and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc - plan to hire 6,000 workers total in 2017. Pictured: U.S. military equipment in Bremerhaven, Germany
Trump has not provided specifics about his plan to increase the size of the U.S. Navy, though two shipbuilders - General Dynamics Corps and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc - plan to hire 6,000 workers total in 2017. Pictured: U.S. military equipment in Bremerhaven, Germany
The two largest U.S. shipbuilders, General Dynamics Corp and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc, told Reuters they are planning to hire a total of 6,000 workers in 2017 just to meet current orders, such as the Columbia class ballistic missile submarine.
General Dynamics hopes to hire 2,000 workers at Electric Boat this year. Currently projected order levels would already require the shipyard to grow from less than 15,000 workers, to nearly 20,000 by the early 2030s, company documents reviewed by Reuters show.
Huntington Ingalls, the largest U.S. military shipbuilder, plans to hire 3,000 at its Newport News shipyard in Norfolk, Virginia, and another 1,000 at the Ingalls shipyard in Mississippi this year to fulfill current orders, spokeswoman Beci Brenton said.
Companies say they are eager to work with Trump to build his bigger Navy. But expanding hiring, for now, is difficult to do until they receive new orders, officials say.
'It´s hard to look beyond' current orders, Brenton said.
Smaller shipbuilders and suppliers are also cautious.
'You can´t hire people to do nothing,' said Jill Mackie, spokeswoman for Portland, Oregon-based Vigor Industrial LLC, which makes combat craft for the Navy´s Special Warfare units. 'Until funding is there ... you can´t bring on more workers.' 

The Navy catapults trucks off ship to test new launch system


The Navy envisioned by Trump could create more than 50,000 jobs. During the height of the Cold War in the early 1980s, the U.S. shipbuilding and repairing industry employed more than 176,000 people but as of 2016 it employed 100,000 people. Pictured: US sailors in Arabian Sea
The Navy envisioned by Trump could create more than 50,000 jobs. During the height of the Cold War in the early 1980s, the U.S. shipbuilding and repairing industry employed more than 176,000 people but as of 2016 it employed 100,000 people. Pictured: US sailors in Arabian Sea
Because companies won't hire excess workers in advance, they will have a huge challenge in expanding their workforces rapidly if a shipbuilding boom materializes, said Bryan Clark, who led strategic planning for the Navy as special assistant to the chief of Naval Operations until 2013.
Union and shipyard officials say finding skilled labor just for the work they already have is challenging. 
Demand for pipeline welders is so strong that some can make as much as $300,000 per year, including overtime and benefits, said Danny Hendrix, the business manager at Pipeliners Local 798, a union representing 6,500 metal workers in 42 states.
Much of the work at the submarine yards also requires a security clearance that many can´t get, said Jimmy Hart, president of the Metal Trades Department at the AFL-CIO union, which represents 100,000 boilermakers, machinists and pipefitters, among others.
To help grow a larger labor force from the ground up, General Dynamics' Electric Boat has partnered with seven high schools and trade schools in Connecticut and Rhode Island to develop a curriculum to train a next generation of welders and engineers.
'It has historically taken five years to get someone proficient in shipbuilding,' said Maura Dunn, vice president of human resources at Electric Boat.
It can take as many as seven years to train a welder skilled enough to make the most complex type of welds, radiographic structural welds needed on a nuclear-powered submarine, said Will Lennon, vice president of the shipyard's Columbia Class submarine program.
The Navy envisioned by Trump could create more than 50,000 jobs, the Shipbuilders Council of America, a trade group representing U.S. shipbuilders, repairers and suppliers, told Reuters.
The U.S. shipbuilding and repairing industry employed nearly 100,000 in 2016, Labor Department statistics show. 
The industry had as many as 176,000 workers at the height of the Cold War in the early 1980s as the United States built up a fleet of nearly 600 warships by the end of that decade. 
Apart from the labor shortage, there are also serious capacity and supply chain issues that would be severely strained by any plan to expand the Navy, especially its submarine fleet.
Expanding the Navy to 350 ships is not as simple as just adding 75 ships. 
Many ships in the current 275-vessel fleet need to be replaced, which means the Navy would have to buy 321 ships between now and 2046 to reach Trump's goal, the Congressional Budget Office said in a report in February.
The shipyards that make nuclear submarines - General Dynamics' Electric Boat in Groton, Connecticut, and Huntington's Newport News - produced as many as seven submarines per year between them in the early 1980s. But for more than a decade now, the yards have not built more than two per year.
The nuclear-powered Virginia class and Columbia class submarines are among the largest and most complex vessels to build. 
The first Columbia submarine, which is set to begin construction in 2021, will take seven years to build, and two to three additional years to test.
Retooling the long-dormant shipyard space will take several years and significant capital investments, but a bigger problem is expanding the supply chain, said Clark, the former strategist for the Navy and now a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments.
Makers of submarine components such as reactor cores, big castings, and forgers of propellers and shafts would need five years to double production, said a congressional official with knowledge of the Navy´s long-term planning.
'We have been sizing the industrial base for two submarines a year. You can´t then just throw one or two more on top of that and say, "Oh here, dial the switch and produce four reactor cores a year instead of two." You just can't,' the official said.
In his first budget proposal to Congress on Thursday, Trump proposed boosting defense spending by $54 billion for the fiscal 2018 year - a 10 percent increase from last year. 
He is also seeking $30bn for the Defense Department in a supplemental budget for fiscal 2017, of which at least $433m is earmarked for military shipbuilding.
A 350-ship Navy would cost $690bn over the 30-year period, or $23bn per year - 60 percent more than the average funding the Navy has received for shipbuilding in the past three decades, the Congressional Budget Office said.
Senator John McCain, chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, who will have a major say in approving the defense budget, said in a statement to Reuters that he supported Trump's vision to increase the size of the Navy to deter adversaries.
'However, this is not a blank check,' he said. 
Senator John McCain cautioned that he would not offer 'a blank check' to Trump, though he did say that he supported Trump's vision to increase the navy's size. Pictured: McCain speaking with Jack Reed, a Democratic Senator from Rhode Island
Senator John McCain cautioned that he would not offer 'a blank check' to Trump, though he did say that he supported Trump's vision to increase the navy's size. Pictured: McCain speaking with Jack Reed, a Democratic Senator from Rhode Island

(21) Donald Trump’s renewed ties with Saudi Arabia could intensify ‘regional cold war’ in Middle East, expert warns | The Independent




Donald Trump's renewed ties with Saudi Arabia could intensify 'regional cold war' in Middle East, expert warns

Donald Trump is renewing America's ties with Saudi Arabia and this could intensify the "regional cold war" in the Middle East, an expert has warned. 
While relations between Barack Obama's administration and Saudi Arabia turned from chilled to hostile since the Iran nuclear deal, President Trump is clearly distancing himself from his predecessor's attitude towards the Gulf. 
Following the meeting between President Trump and Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman this week, the White House suggested Saudi Arabia would remain a close consultant to Mr Trump on security and economic challenges in the Middle East.
The Saudis also hailed a "historical turning point" in US-Saudi relations after the two leaders expressed shared views that Iran poses a regional security threat in the region. 
Fawaz A Gerges, professor of international relations at the London School of Economics and the Emirates Chair in Contemporary Middle Eastern Studies told The Independent: "We are witnessing a marked shift from the Obama administration to the Trump administration vis-a-vis the Gulf and Saudi Arabia."
He warned the shift in relationship between the two countries could see Saudi Arabia's proxy war with Iran intensify in Yemen, which is being torn apart by civil war. 
Saudi Arabia and Iran are backing opposing sides in Syria and Yemen, accusing each other of terrorism and war crimes while denying interference. 
"We are going to see an intensification of the fierce regional cold war between Sunni-dominated Saudi Arabia and Shia-dominated Iran.
"We will see a shift from American relative neutrality to major engagement on the side of Saudi Arabia and this will have importance particularly in Yemen.
"Yemen is going to be the major theatre where the US is going to squeeze Iran," said Professor Gerges.
This comes as Mr Trump reportedly gave the Pentagon permission to carry out more raids in Yemen
"The Saudis are delighted that Barack Obama has left the White House. The consensus was that Obama was flirting with Iran at their own expense. The nuclear deal with Iran was the final thing that broke the camel's back," said Professor Gerges.
For the Saudis, Mr Trump is now seen as a like-minded ally over Iran, who is unlikely to scrutinise the Saudi government over human rights issues. 
On the other hand, Mr Trump is keen to see an increased commitment of fighting Isis in the Gulf and Saudi Arabia could be key in committing to it, he said. 
"What the Saudis care about and the only thing they care about is Iran. They believe that Iran represents an existential threat to Saudi Arabia. 
"Donald Trump and his team have a visceral hatred of Iran and has made it very clear that Iran is a troublemaker and a supporter of terrorism. The Saudis view the Trump administration through the lens of its stance with Iran," he said. 


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Professor Gerges said the debate over Mr Trump's 'Muslim travel ban' and views on Palestine were secondary and that the US-Saudi relationship relied on a shared position over Iran. 
"The Trump administration has already increased the volume of its hostile rhetoric towards Iran," he said.
The meeting between Mr Trump and Prince bin Salman was one of a host of high-level meetings between officials from both countries and the White House is showing signs that Saudi Arabia may be taking an influential role in shaping its policies in the Middle East. 
Both Iran and Yemen have been listed in Mr Trump's travel ban and while the Saudis welcome Mr Trump's hard-line on Iran, US officials said the President was considering ending a ban on US weapon sales to the Saudis.
The suspension of the arms trade with Saudi Arabia had been implemented by Mr Obama in response to thousands of civilians being killed in the conflict in Yemen. 
The relationship between the two countries will also not be limited to diplomatic ties and during the meeting, the two sides discussed the creation of a new US-Saudi programme, which would start initiatives in the energy, industry, infrastructure, and technology sectors, with opportunities worth more than $200 billion (£162bn) the statement from the White House said.

(20) Putin Urges Nations to Reject ‘Chaos’, Join Russia in Creation of ‘Fair’ World




Putin Urges Nations to Reject 'Chaos', Join Russia in Creation of 'Fair' World


On Thursday afternoon, Russian President Vladimir Putin welcomed 18 new foreign ambassadors to Russia during a ceremony at the Alexander Hall of the Grand Kremlin Palace. 
Although such events are usually little more than ceremonial formalities, Putin used the opportunity to encourage all nations to work with Russia towards the creation of a "fair" world that respects "cultural diversity" and "national sovereignty":
Russia opposes attempts to destabilise and weaken international relations, as this could lead to a chaotic and ever less controllable slide towards greater tension in the world.
We support joint action to ensure a democratic and fair world order based on strict respect for the norms of international law, the United Nations Charter, recognition of the unquestionable value of cultural and civilizational diversity, national sovereignty, and the right of all countries to decide their futures freely, without external pressure.
The international situation does indeed require improvement. This calls for restraint, wisdom and responsibility. I would like to reiterate that Russia supports joint efforts to resolve the real problems facing the entire international community today. 
Putin also stressed that Russia seeks international relations and cooperation based on consensus and respect, noting that Russia "does not divide its partners into big and small. Every country has its own value in our eyes, and with every country we are ready to pursue an equal dialogue and build cooperation on a constructive basis of mutual respect."
Putin's remarks nicely compliment Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov's warning to U.S. Vice President Mike Pence: The "western-led" world order is over
Watch:




 
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(19) Paso a paso: lo que sucederá si EEUU ataca a Corea del Norte




Paso a paso: lo que sucederá si EEUU ataca a Corea del Norte

Según el jefe de la diplomacia de EEUU, durante este tiempo, el país ha proporcionado a los norcoreanos 1.350 millones de dólares en ayuda financiera, pero esto solo lo emplearon en desarrollar su potencial nuclear. "Está claro que necesitamos un enfoque diferente", destacó Tillerson.
Sin embargo, como EEUU no va a hacer concesiones a Corea del Norte y las sanciones tampoco han tenido éxito, "un enfoque diferente" podría significar la preparación de una operación militar. Como ha señalado The Washington Post, en la Casa Blanca apareció incluso el término 'opciones cinéticas' para indicar la posibilidad de utilizar la fuerza contra el país asiático. 
Como consecuencia surge una pregunta interesante: ¿qué es lo que EEUU puede conseguir en este conflicto? Es obvio que Donald Trump no quiere repetir la sangrienta y prolongada Guerra de Corea. Por eso, debería tener un plan para una victoria rápida que desconocemos, pero podemos tratar de adivinar, escribe el analista político Dmitri Verjotúrov, que compartió con Sputnik su opinión acerca el caso.
Según Verjotúrov, la guerra comenzará con un ataque hipersónico con armas de precisión a las instalaciones militares clave. También pueden usar bombas capaces de destruir búnkeres de hormigón (la Fuerza Aérea de EEUU está en posesión de la bomba BLU-113, empleada en Irak), o el misil hipersónico X-51A Waverider, probado en 2013. 
Lo más probable para el país norteamericano, cree el experto, sería apostar por misiles hipersónicos y, en general, poner a prueba la última estrategia militar de Estados Unidos, el Prompt Global Strike, que hace posible un golpe en cualquier parte del mundo 60 minutos después de haber tomado la decisión correspondiente. 
El segundo paso será un ataque aéreo masivo con los recientes aviones furtivos F-22 (al menos cuatro aviones F-22 ya están desplegados en Corea del Sur) y F-35 (están en la Base Aérea de Iwakuni en Japón). Se supone que la defensa de la RPDC no será capaz de repeler la ofensiva y las aeronaves acabarán con los objetos principales ya alcanzados por las armas hipersónicas.
El tercer elemento de la estrategia será el desembarco de un contingente limitado de la infantería con miras a la captura rápida o eliminación de los líderes políticos y militares de Corea del Norte. Después, la guerra debe concluir.
El único detalle fundamentalmente nuevo de esta estrategia será la utilización de misiles hipersónicos, ya que, en general, se tratará de un calco de la campaña militar en Irak del 2003, que se basará en el uso de la excelencia técnica y la desmoralización del Ejército de Corea del Norte con un golpe repentino.
Sin embargo, los norcoreanos no son Irak, destaca Verjotúrov. Su nivel de resistencia a la invasión estadounidense sin duda será mucho mayor. Además, Corea del Norte tiene con qué responder.
En primer lugar, la RPDC tiene un amplio e intrincado sistema de refugios subterráneos contra ataques aéreos, construido durante más de 60 años tras la Guerra de Corea. Todos ellos no podrán ser destruidos. 
En segundo lugar, en caso de un asalto a las sedes y comunicaciones principales existen puntos alternativos. También hay planes preparados para una acción independiente en caso de guerra. En tercer lugar, la RPDC tendría la oportunidad de un golpe rápido preventivo o de respuesta con misiles de combustible sólido.
Todo esto genera dudas sobre si Estados Unidos será capaz de destruir inmediatamente y por completo el mando del país asiático con un golpe repentino. Y si una supresión del control no resulta eficaz, todos los demás puntos del plan estadounidense se enfrentarían a dificultades, mientras que el Ejército de Corea del Norte sería capaz de cambiar el rumbo del conflicto a su favor.
Como resultado, una victoria rápida y fácil sobre Corea del Norte no será posible y la guerra será larga y destructiva. Va a destruir la economía de Corea del Sur, socavar el poder de Japón y echar a perder todos los frutos de la política estadounidense en la región logrados después de la II Guerra Mundial. Por lo tanto, solo queda esperar que Estados Unidos invente un enfoque diferente en la situación actual, concluye el analista.
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(18) US military spending a cause for concern - Global Times




US military spending a cause for concern

The White House on Wednesday released its budget blueprint for the fiscal year 2018, which significantly increases defense budget by $54 billion, or 10 percent, from the previous year, while proposing to cut the funding for non-military departments.

The proposed $54 billion increase will make US military budget higher than Russia's and Japan's military spending combined, accounting for one-third of China's defense budget. Once approved by the Congress, the US defense spending will reach $603 billion, while non-military federal budget will be only $462 billion.

The US is certainly one of the militarist countries in the world. As the only superpower, what the US emphasizes and values will have a global impact, as it leads the world's attention and resources and in this way writes the rules. Since US military budget already equals the combined amount of the biggest eight countries after it, why is it so radically expanding its military spending? Donald Trump wrote to the Congress that "without safety, there can be no prosperity."

In order to be "safer," the White House proposes to cut budget for environmental protection by 31.4 percent, agriculture and labor departments each by 20.7 percent, health agencies by 16.2 percent and transportation by 12.7 percent.

In comparison, the increase in China's defense budget is accompanied with an increase for all other major departments. It's easy to imagine a public outcry if China cuts spending on environmental protection, agriculture, labor, health, transportation and public services to fund the military. Not a single expert in China would dare to make such a proposal.

Some analysts predict that Trump's budget proposal may not be approved by the Congress. However, it's worth mentioning that, among the boldest motions of Trump since he took office, boosting military spending met with relatively milder opposition compared with other policies such as the "Muslim ban."

The US society wishes to cling to its half century of global dominance. When Trump calls to allocate more resources for the military rather than for people's livelihood, he has reasons to be optimistic in persuading the US public.

We are living in a world where the "boss" is obsessed with weapons, and this will inevitably affect the way international relations develop.

The US may ignore foreign countries' feelings when it makes a decision. However, Chinese should rethink about this world in view of the White House's military advocacy and the mild response of the US society, and get a better understanding of the international environment China is in. The US military budget has provided an impressive case study to understand the relationship between people's livelihood and national security.           

(17) Trump Stands Firm on Claim That British Agency Helped Obama Spy on Him - The New York Times




Trump Stands Firm on Claim That British Agency Helped Obama Spy on Him





The White House press secretary, Sean Spicer, at the daily press briefing at the White House on Thursday. Al Drago/The New York Times

WASHINGTON — President Trump refused to back down on Friday after his White House aired an unverified claim that Britain's spy agency secretly monitored him during last year's campaign at the behest of President Barack Obama, fueling a rare rupture between the United States and its most important international partner.
Although his aides in private conversations since Thursday night had tried to calm British officials livid over the allegation, Mr. Trump made clear that he felt the White House had nothing to retract or apologize for, explaining that his spokesman was simply repeating an assertion made by a Fox News commentator.
"We said nothing," Mr. Trump told a German reporter who asked about the matter at a joint White House news conference with Chancellor Angela Merkel. "All we did was quote a certain very talented legal mind who was the one responsible for saying that on television. I didn't make an opinion on it. You shouldn't be talking to me about it. You should be talking to Fox."
Mr. Trump, who has stuck by his unsubstantiated assertion that Mr. Obama ordered his telephone tapped last year despite across-the-board denials, wryly used Ms. Merkel's visit to repeat his contention. Ms. Merkel was angry during Mr. Obama's administration at reports that the United States tapped her telephone and those of other foreign leaders. Turning to her, Mr. Trump said, "At least we have something in common, perhaps."

A spokesman for Prime Minister Theresa May said on Friday that the White House had backed off the allegation. "We've made clear to the administration that these claims are ridiculous and should be ignored," the spokesman said on condition of anonymity in keeping with British protocol. "We've received assurances these allegations won't be repeated."
Kim Darroch, the British ambassador to Washington, spoke with Sean Spicer, the White House press secretary, at a St. Patrick's Day reception in Washington on Thursday night just hours after Mr. Spicer aired the assertion at his daily briefing. Mark Lyall Grant, the prime minister's national security adviser, spoke separately with his American counterpart, Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster.
"Ambassador Kim Darroch and Sir Mark Lyall expressed their concerns to Sean Spicer and General McMaster," a White House official said on condition of anonymity to confirm private conversations. "Mr. Spicer and General McMaster explained that Mr. Spicer was simply pointing to public reports, not endorsing any specific story."
Other White House officials, who also would not be named, said Mr. Spicer offered no regret to the ambassador. "He didn't apologize, no way, no how," said a senior West Wing official. The officials said they did not know whether General McMaster had apologized.
The controversy over Mr. Trump's two-week-old unsubstantiated accusation that Mr. Obama had wiretapped his telephones last year continued to unnerve even Mr. Trump's fellow Republicans. Representative Tom Cole, Republican of Oklahoma, said Friday that Mr. Trump had not proven his case and should tell Mr. Obama he was sorry.

Sean Spicer, the White House press secretary, on Thursday quoted Fox News coverage implicating Britain's Government Communications Headquarters in a wiretapping of Trump Tower. President Trump "stands by" his original accusations of surveillance, Mr. Spicer said.
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS. Photo by Al Drago/The New York Times. Watch in Times Video »

"Frankly, unless you can produce some pretty compelling truth, I think President Obama is owed an apology," Mr. Cole told reporters. "If he didn't do it, we shouldn't be reckless in accusations that he did."
The flap with Britain started when Mr. Spicer, in the course of defending Mr. Trump's original accusation against Mr. Obama, on Thursday read from the White House lectern comments by a Fox News commentator asserting that the British spy agency was involved. Andrew Napolitano, the commentator, said on air that Mr. Obama had used Britain's Government Communications Headquarters, the signals agency known as the GCHQ, to spy on Mr. Trump.
The GCHQ quickly and vehemently denied the contention on Thursday in a rare statement issued by the spy agency, calling the assertions "nonsense" and "utterly ridiculous." By Friday morning, Mr. Spicer's briefing had turned into a full-blown international incident. British politicians expressed outrage and demanded apologies and retractions from the American government.
Mr. Trump's critics assailed the White House for alienating America's friend. "The cost of falsely blaming our closest ally for something this consequential cannot be overstated," Susan E. Rice, who was Mr. Obama's national security adviser, wrote on Twitter. "And from the PODIUM."
Mr. Trump has continued to stick by his claim about Mr. Obama even after it has been refuted by a host of current and former officials, including leaders of his own party. Mr. Obama denied it, as did the former director of national intelligence. The F.B.I. director has privately told other officials that it is false. After being briefed by intelligence officials, the Republican chairmen of the House and Senate Intelligence Committees have in the last few days said they have seen no indication that Mr. Trump's claim is true.
Mr. Spicer tried to turn the tables on those statements during his briefing on Thursday by reading from a sheaf of news accounts that he suggested backed up the president. Most of the news accounts, however, did not verify the president's assertion, while several have been refuted by intelligence officials.
For instance, Mr. Spicer read several stories from The New York Times, which has written extensively on an investigation into contacts between associates of Mr. Trump and Russian officials. The Times has reported that intelligence agencies have access to intercepted conversations as part of that investigation. But it has never reported that Mr. Obama authorized the surveillance, nor that Mr. Trump himself was monitored.
Representative Devin Nunes of California, a Republican and the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, said this week that "it's possible" Mr. Trump or others were swept up in the course of other surveillance, but when it came to the president's assertion that Mr. Obama authorized tapping of Trump Tower, "clearly the president was wrong."
His Senate counterpart, Senator Richard Burr of North Carolina, issued a joint statement on Thursday with Senator Mark R. Warner of Virginia, the top Democrat on the intelligence committee, saying they saw "no indications that Trump Tower was the subject of surveillance by any element of the United States government either before or after Election Day 2016."
In pointing the finger at Britain on Thursday, Mr. Spicer read from comments made by Mr. Napolitano on Fox this week. "Three intelligence sources have informed Fox News that President Obama went outside the chain of command," Mr. Spicer read. "He didn't use the N.S.A., he didn't use the C.I.A., he didn't use the F.B.I., and he didn't use the Department of Justice. He used GCHQ."
"What is that?" Mr. Spicer continued. "It's the initials for the British intelligence spying agency. So simply, by having two people saying to them, 'the president needs transcripts of conversations involved in candidate Trump's conversations involving President-elect Trump,' he was able to get it and there's no American fingerprints on this."
In London, outrage quickly followed. "It's complete garbage. It's rubbish," Malcolm Rifkind, a former chairman of Parliament's intelligence committee, told BBC News.
GCHQ was the first agency to warn the American government, including the National Security Agency, that Russia was hacking Democratic Party emails during the presidential campaign. That warning stemmed from internet traffic out of Russia containing malware, British officials said.
British officials and analysts were surprised at the tough and vehement language in the GCHQ response, especially from an agency that traditionally refuses to comment on any intelligence matter.
There was some annoyance and eye-rolling as well. Tim Farron, leader of the Liberal Democrats, the junior partner in the last British coalition government, described Mr. Spicer's repetition of the claims as "shameful" and said Mr. Trump was "compromising the vital U.K.-U.S. security relationship to try to cover his own embarrassment."
Dominic Grieve, the current intelligence committee chairman in Parliament, noted that no president can task the GCHQ and pointed to elaborate safeguards that prevent spying on the United States and require "a valid national security purpose" for any monitoring. "It is inconceivable that those legal requirements could be met in the circumstances described," he said in a statement.
But Downing Street clearly wanted to avoid adding to any embarrassment in Washington while making it clear that Britain had no part in any such wiretapping, and that Britain would not be a party to circumventing the laws of another closely allied country. "We have a close relationship which allows us to raise concerns when they arise, as was true in this case," the prime minister's spokesman said. "This shows the administration doesn't give the allegations any credence."
British officials said that Britain initiated calls of complaint and denial to the White House after Mr. Spicer's briefing. They also said that British officials had discussed responding earlier, after Mr. Napolitano's comments were made on air, but acted quickly after those remarks were repeated by the president's official spokesman.
"I doubt if there will be any long-term damage — the intelligence links between the U.S. and the U.K. are just too strong," said Peter Westmacott, a former British ambassador to the United States. "It was unfortunate that the White House spokesman repeated what he's heard on Fox News without checking the facts. But once he'd done so, GCHQ had no choice but to set the record straight."
Correction: March 17, 2017
An earlier version of this article misspelled the surname of Britain's ambassador to the United States. It is Kim Darroch, not Derroch.

(16) Negotiating a Strategy To Handle North Korea | Stratfor




Negotiating a Strategy To Handle North Korea

On his way out of office, former U.S. President Barack Obama reportedly advised his successor, Donald Trump, that North Korea would be the next administration's greatest challenge. U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson will take on that challenge during his first visit to Asia since assuming his role, a three-country tour that kicked off in Japan today and also includes stops in South Korea and China. Over the next five days, Tillerson is expected to discuss the dangers of North Korea's nuclear weapons development program and to address the regional security balance more generally. Tillerson will also likely try to pressure the Chinese government to take a tougher stance on North Korea, now that Washington is finalizing its own policy toward the country. But the chief U.S. diplomat will find that the United States and China have diverging priorities to consider as they reassess their strategies for managing the precarious situation on the Korean Peninsula.
Though the Trump administration has doubtless considered a variety of options for dealing with Pyongyang, none is particularly promising. Engaging the North Korean government in a dialogue, for example, would do little to slow the progress of its nuclear weapons program and could unnerve U.S. allies in the region. Military action, meanwhile, would risk a response from Beijing while also jeopardizing the region's security. Considering the drawbacks of each strategy, the Trump administration probably will follow its predecessors' example, at least for now and increase sanctions on North Korea, reinforce missile defense systems in and around the Korean Peninsula, and pressure China to crack down on Pyongyang. In fact, Tillerson has already raised the idea of expanding the United States' missile defense support to South Korea and imposing secondary sanctions on Chinese companies that do business in North Korea.
But the Chinese government insists that it can take a tougher stance on North Korea only if the United States agrees to withdraw the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile system, which it started to deploy last week to South Korea. In the meantime, Washington's escalated efforts to coerce Beijing to take action against Pyongyang will probably only heighten the tension between China and the United States. And that would put Seoul, which depends on its relationships with both countries to fulfill its security and economic needs, in an even trickier situation.
Beijing's position isn't easy, either. For one thing, North Korea's recalcitrance and erratic government are no less a threat to China. For another, Beijing's unwillingness or inability to bring Pyongyang into line has pushed Seoul to deepen its security alliance with Washington and, in turn, prompted the United States to increase its military presence in the region. This has made it increasingly difficult for Beijing to ensure stability on the Korean Peninsula and keep it (at least partially) neutral, two of its primary objectives. For decades, Beijing achieved those goals by maintaining amenable relationships with both North and South Korea, as it did in the 1990s, or by playing the two off each other. (China employed the latter strategy during the Cold War and again during the early years of recently ousted South Korean President Park Geun-hye's term — the so-called "Seoul Honeymoon.") But as relations with both Koreas have soured, Beijing, like Washington, has had to reconsider its strategy.
For now, Beijing's best bet for managing the situation appears to be leading a new round of multilateral negotiations with the United States and North Korea, or persuading the next administration in Seoul to remove the THAAD system. But neither path guarantees success. North Korea and the United States seem more interested in projecting their military power than in heading back to the negotiating table. In South Korea, meanwhile, the threat of Pyongyang's aggression, combined with public outrage over China's economic retaliation against South Korean businesses, will overshadow popular opposition to THAAD and could drive Seoul further into Washington's arms.
Whatever it does to try to preserve the tenuous peace on the Korean Peninsula, Beijing will still have to address its policy toward North Korea. And if its current approach is untenable, the alternatives are hardly more palatable. Beijing could try to ease the tension with Pyongyang — for instance by offering diplomatic concessions or increased aid — though the North Korean administration's continued defiance and provocations would make that difficult. Furthermore, some Chinese policy and academic circles are calling on Beijing to take a harder line with North Korea by sanctioning Kim Jong Un's administration, ousting the leader or even supporting U.S.-led surgical strikes on targets in the country. But that kind of strategy would require China to accept the costs and consequences of the Kim dynasty's collapse.
The negotiations between the United States and China over North Korea will almost certainly entail compromise on both sides. Washington and Beijing already have discussed the possibility of adjusting the power and range of the THAAD's radar systems to address China's concerns. And depending on how open Beijing is to cooperating with Washington on North Korea, the Trump administration may use a similar approach to pressure China over other issues, from trade to the South China Sea.

(15) Donald Trump Works For Wall Street, Not Russia




Donald Trump Works For Wall Street, Not Russia

The evidence is overwhelming and indisputable at this point. Donald Trump is a phony, who has given his administration over to Wall Street crooks even more enthusiastically than his predecessors, and his predecessors were very enthusiastic.
I've written about this many times, and I warned throughout the campaign that my biggest fear was Trump is far too cozy with the finance industry, fake populist statements aside. His latest hire for the number two position at the Treasury Department once again proves the point.
As David Dayen reports in his excellent article at The Intercept, Donald Trump Isn't Even Pretending to Oppose Goldman Sachs Anymore:
The continuity of Wall Street's dominant role in American politics — regardless of what party sits in power or how reviled the financial industry finds itself across the country — was perhaps never more evident than when Jake Siewert, now a Goldman Sachs spokesperson, on Tuesday praised the selection of Jim Donovan, a Goldman Sachs managing director, for the No. 2 position in the Treasury Department under Steve Mnuchin, himself a former Goldman Sachs partner.
America will never recover until this is dealt with, and Trump has made it perfectly clear he will not deal with it.
"Jim is smart, extraordinarily versatile, and as hard-working as they come," Siewert gushed. "He'll be an invaluable addition to the economic team."
The punch line? Siewert was counselor at the Treasury Department to Timothy Geithner, as well as a White House press secretary under Bill Clinton.
The ubiquity of Goldman Sachs veterans across numerous presidencies throughout history, both Republican and Democratic, has been well documented. But Donald Trump sold himself as something different, an economic nationalist determined to rankle Wall Street. He even ran campaign ads savaging bankers like Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein for their role in a "global power structure."
That populist smokescreen is long gone now.
Mnuchin and Donovan are just two of five Goldman expats in high-level positions on Trump's team. Steve Bannon spent a limited time at Goldman Sachs, but White House assistant Dina Powell, who headed the bank's philanthropic efforts, and National Economic Council director Gary Cohn, Goldman's former president, had higher-ranking positions for a longer period. Jay Clayton, Trump's nominee for the Securities and Exchange Commission, was a partner for Goldman's main law firm, Sullivan and Cromwell.
White House Chief of Staff Reince Priebus reportedly blocked Donovan from Treasury initially, amid fears of an image problem with too many "Goldman guys." But Donovan got the post anyway.
You know it's bad when Reince thinks there are too many Goldman baby squids around.
Even in areas where populist sentiment was seen as pre-eminent, Trump has reportedly succumbed to the Wall Street advance. A dramatic piece in the Financial Times described a "civil war" within the White House over trade, pitting Trump's hard-liners like Bannon and trade policy adviser Peter Navarro against the likes of Cohn. It stated that Navarro was being sidelined, with Cohn taking a larger role in the negotiations over NAFTA, and with foreign leaders working through the National Economic Council rather than Navarro in trade talks. AFL-CIO official Thea Lee said in the story, "It appears the Wall Street wing … is winning this battle."
At the NEC, Cohn hired Andrew Quinn, a chief negotiator for the Trans-Pacific Partnership, to coordinate international trade and development. A stewing Breitbart News called Quinn "the enemy within."
Drain the swamp baby.
Banks have celebrated since Trump's election, composing the lion's share of the "Trump bump" in stock prices. Goldman Sachs shares have risen from $181.92 on Election Day to around $250 today, an increase that accounts for as much as one-fifth of the total rise in the Dow Jones Industrial Average over that period.
It's now completely obvious that the Trump administration has been hijacked by Wall Street, so where's the resistance? When it comes to the self-proclaimed leaders of this "resistance," the corporate media and the Democratic Party, the resistance is nowhere to be found. They're simply too busy focusing on invented Russia conspiracy theories to deal with the provable conspiracy right in front of their faces. I find that quite curious.
It doesn't take much critical thinking to immediately discover why. Russia fear-mongering is the perfect way to superficially oppose Trump, without actually opposing him. Corporate media and Democrats don't dare focus on Trump's Wall Street embrace because Wall Street owns their asses too. That's the dirty little secret here.
While that's bad enough, the only reason Trump is actually able to get away with such an obvious betrayal and lack of swamp drainage, is because his supporters allow him to. His power resides in his base, and if his base shrugs as he sticks a knife in their backs, then he'll continue to stick the knife in. As I mentioned on Twitter yesterday.