capifan

La forma de organizar el blog

· Manual del blog:

o https://www.dropbox.com/s/apkvb1t286fqngx/manual_del_blog.docx?dl=0

· Nuevo calendario de exposiciones:

o https://www.dropbox.com/s/t5go92oidqcdzyg/nuevo_calendario_exposiciones.png?dl=0

· El link de las presentaciones:

o https://www.dropbox.com/s/qs4lk2cssc3pn25/Geoestrategia.pptx?dl=0

· Documento a leer J JOE:

o https://www.dropbox.com/s/shqk1z833rp4gd9/joe2010.pdf?dl=0

· Reporte de seguridad de Munich

o https://www.dropbox.com/s/ng9br4q5wl7eavj/MunichSecurityReport2017.pdf?dl=0

· Presentación de China

o https://www.dropbox.com/s/jyaipjtr7svfz69/china.pptx?dl=0

sábado, 24 de septiembre de 2016

(18) The Deep State’s Candidate? - The Unz Review


http://www.unz.com/ldinh/the-deep-states-candidate/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 4:57 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(17) POLITICO-Harvard poll: Amid Trump's rise, GOP voters turn sharply away from free trade - POLITICO


http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/politico-harvard-poll-free-trade-trump-gop-228600
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 4:05 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(16) Blockbuster Poll: Americans Reject Obama-Clinton-Ryan Position on Trade - Breitbart


http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/09/24/blockbuster-poll-americans-reject-obama-clinton-ryan-position-on-trade/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 4:04 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(15) 2008 Crisis Deepened the Ties Between Clintons and Goldman Sachs - The New York Times


http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/25/us/politics/bill-hillary-clinton-goldman-sachs.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 3:33 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(14) China city commercial banks' assets total $3.76 trillion - Business - Chinadaily.com.cn


http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2016-09/24/content_26884584.htm
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:19 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

viernes, 23 de septiembre de 2016

(13) How to not spend it | The Economist


http://www.economist.com/news/business-and-finance/21707435-norways-global-fund-its-tough-small-democracy-run-worlds-biggest
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:46 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(12) Won’t pay! Can’t pay? | The Economist


http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21707567-14-billion-demand-america-adds-german-lenders-troubles-wont-pay
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:45 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(11) In Defense of High Frequency Trading


http://www.ncpa.org/sub/dpd/index.php?Article_ID=26620&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DPD
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 1:17 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(10) ¿Y si Trump fuera presidente? | El Economista


http://eleconomista.com.mx/internacional/2016/09/22/trump-fuera-presidente?cx_topclickedpos=1
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 1:02 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(09) FDIC Flags Deutsche Bank's Wild Leverage Ratio—But It's Not the Only One




http://www.larouchepub.com/pr/2016/160922_fdic_flags_db.html


FDIC Flags Deutsche Bank's Wild Leverage Ratio—But It's Not the Only One

PRESS RELEASE


Sept. 22, 2016 (EIRNS)—Deutsche Bank was fingered again as the riskiest bank in the world, in data released Tuesday by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). According to the FDIC's calculation (using the International Financial Reporting Standards or IFRS), Deutsche Bank's leverage ratio—a lender's equity capital measured against its assets—is the lowest of the rest of the world's "Global Systemically Important Banks" (G-SIB's). The FDIC includes the amount of derivatives which banks have on their books in its calculations of a leverage ratio, which shows how much equity capital a lender has against assets such as loans.
A low ratio means that a bank has less of a cushion if a crisis arises. DB's leverage was estimated at a miniscule 2.68% as of June 30. That means DB has leveraged its capital 37:1 with debt, a slightly worse leverage position than that of Lehman Brothers in mid-2008 before its bankruptcy.
The risks of Deutsche "Bunk," as Lyndon LaRouche has dubbed it, were the subject of a closed session of German Social Democratic lawmakers on Tuesday, Bloomberg reported today, citing reports from two unnamed "people familiar with the matter." Few details were reported, other than that partipants discussed the coming U.S. Department of Justice fine and the bank's financial reserves. Bloomberg contrasted that discussion, however, with the public silence maintained by the Merkel government on this looming blowout; Bloomberg's sources say the topic was not raised at a closed-door session of the German parliament's Finance Committee with Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble the same day.
DB may be the worst—and the IMF has called it the most dangerous spreader of bank risk in the world when it does blow up. But it is not the only "G-SIB" without much "cushion," FDIC figures showed. Banco Santander of Spain, France's BNP Paribas and Société Générale, Sweden's Nordea Bank, Switzerland's UBS, and Italy's UniCredit were all under 4%—i.e., debt-leveraged by more than 25:1—and Goldman Sachs was only a hair over, at 4.14%.
FDIC Vice Chairman Thomas Hoenig warned, in releasing the FDIC'S Semi-Annual Update of the Global Capital Index, that "the degree of leverage within the global financial system increased in the first half of 2016," as a whole. He made clear that U.S. big banks are included in that increased leverage—i.e., speculation.
"Although equity capital increased for U.S. G-SIBs in the first half of the year, assets increased more than proportionately, including a significant expansion of their derivatives books. The net effect was an increase in their overall leverage position,"
he said.
"Thus, as markets have recovered as central banks around the world continue quantitative easing programs, the incentives for increasing financial leverage have intensified."
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 12:06 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(08) ¿Por qué México no consigue frenar el desplome del peso? - BBC Mundo


http://www.bbc.com/mundo/noticias-america-latina-37413535?ocid=socialflow_twitter
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:28 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

miércoles, 21 de septiembre de 2016

(07) Alfredo Jalife Rahme compartió un enlace: The Three Stages of Empire

The Three Stages of Empire del Tweet de https://twitter.com/ukatsav/status/778765725754273792?refsrc=email&s=11

Descarga la aplicación de Twitter


Enviado desde mi iPhone
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 7:39 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(06) Clinton's Illness, Trump's Strength Cited by Analysts as Causes for Mexico Peso's New Plunge - U.S. Election 2016 - Haaretz - Israel News Haaretz.com


http://www.haaretz.com/world-news/u-s-election-2016/1.743382
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:22 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(05) TISALeaks: nueva filtración sobre las negociaciones del secreto acuerdo - RT


https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/219329-tisaleaks-nueva-filtracion-negociaciones-acuerdo
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:03 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(04) ‘A danger for dinner plates’: Top French chefs condemn $66bn merger of Bayer & Monsanto — RT News


https://www.rt.com/news/360159-monsanto-chefs-letter-bayer/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:54 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(03) Bayer evalúa eliminar nombre Monsanto por problemas de marca | El Financiero


http://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/empresas/bayer-evalua-eliminar-nombre-monsanto-por-problemas-de-marca.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:39 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(02) La Jornada: Bajo la Lupa


http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2016/09/21/opinion/016o1pol
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:00 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

martes, 20 de septiembre de 2016

(01) Does China’s debt signal an impending crisis? - Global Times

http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1007399.shtml


Enviado desde mi iPad
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 11:08 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(33) PressTV-‘Clinton is chief emissary for globalism’


http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/09/21/485647/Donald-Trump-Hillary-Clinton-globalism-emissary
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:42 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(32) Si hoy te preocupa la volatilidad del peso, espera a noviembre | El Financiero



http://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/mercados/divisas/si-hoy-ve-volatilidad-en-el-peso-espere-a-noviembre.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 10:18 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(31) People's Daily criticizes U.S. as "source of turmoil" - People's Daily Online

http://en.people.cn/n3/2016/0919/c90780-9116349.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:35 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(30) China to invest $450 billion in agriculture — RT Business

https://www.rt.com/business/359841-china-invest-billions-agriculture/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:35 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(29) Obama: Failure to Pass TPP Benefits Beijing | Foreign Policy

http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/09/16/obama-failure-to-pass-tpp-benefits-beijing/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:34 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(28) bibliografia The Telegraph

https://www.dropbox.com/s/ctw6ybgef9haajd/documento1.docx?dl=0
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:32 a.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

lunes, 19 de septiembre de 2016

(27) Global bond issuance highest in nearly a decade — FT.com

https://www.ft.com/content/a30ffee6-7c3f-11e6-ae24-f193b105145e
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:49 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(26) ASEAN: Further Apart, Not Closer Together | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/geopolitical-diary/asean-further-apart-not-closer-together
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:47 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(25) East Asia: Where Eastern and Western Ambitions Meet | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/east-asia-where-eastern-and-western-ambitions-meet
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:46 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(24) Why the Eurasian Union Will Never Be the EU | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/why-eurasian-union-will-never-be-eu
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:44 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(23) East Africa: Where Ambition Meets Reality | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/east-africa-where-ambition-meets-reality
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:43 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(22) ASEAN: The Limits of Consensus | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/asean-limits-consensus
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:42 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(21) The Gulf Cooperation Council: Finding Safety in Numbers | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/gulf-cooperation-council-finding-safety-numbers
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:41 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(20) Mercosur: At the Mercy of Other Markets | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/mercosur-mercy-other-markets
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:40 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(19) The European Union: A Cautionary Tale | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/european-union-cautionary-tale
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:39 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(18) NAFTA: Capitalizing on Natural Advantages | Stratfor

https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/nafta-capitalizing-natural-advantages
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:38 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(17) Adquisición telúrica de Monsanto por Bayer El ocaso de los campesinos de Estados Unidos y el mundo La Jornada: Bajo la Lupa

http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2016/09/18/opinion/014o1pol?partner=rss
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:36 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(16) Gold Yuan: Post-Dollar World Order Emerging in Eurasia

https://sputniknews.com/politics/20160915/1045341538/gold-yuan-china-dollar-eurasia.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:35 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(15) US economy may be ruined by 'crazies', warns Alan Greenspan — RT Business

https://www.rt.com/business/359535-alan-greenspan-crazies-us-economy/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:34 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(14) 'Menos Pokémon y más amor': "Bomba de tiempo" que le espera Japón por falta de interés en el sexo - RT

https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/215543-japon-sexo-bomba-demografica
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:33 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(13) El país donde el número de jóvenes solteros y vírgenes genera alarma social - RT

https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/219002-solteros-virgenes-jovenes-japoneses-aumenta
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:30 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(12) La Jornada: Bajo la lupa

http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2016/02/17/opinion/022o1pol
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:29 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(11) The rise of the superstars | The Economist

http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21707048-small-group-giant-companiessome-old-some-neware-once-again-dominating-global
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:29 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(10) A giant problem | The Economist

http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21707210-rise-corporate-colossus-threatens-both-competition-and-legitimacy-business
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:25 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(9) Bibliografía

http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2012/08/15/opinion/023o1pol
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:24 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(8) The $956 billion farm bill, in one graph - The Washington Post

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2014/01/28/the-950-billion-farm-bill-in-one-chart/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:22 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(7) Central Bank Digital Currencies: A Revolution in Banking? | WEB OF DEBT BLOG

https://ellenbrown.com/2016/09/16/central-bank-digital-currencies-a-revolution-in-banking/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:22 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(6) Farmers sound alarm over mega deals

https://www.ft.com/content/c815119c-6f4f-11e6-9ac1-1055824ca907?siteedition=intl&_i_location=http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c815119c-6f4f-11e6-9ac1-1055824ca907.html?siteedition=intl&_i_referer=&classification=conditional_standard&iab=barrier-app

Farmers sound alarm over mega deals



© FT Graphic / Bloomberg

When Bayer announced its bid for US rival Monsanto in May, Susanne Schmidt immediately sold her shares in the German company.
An environmental scientist from Landau in south-western Germany, she had inherited the stock from her father, who worked all his life for Bayer. But the thought of such a merger filled her with horror. “The bigger the market share they have, the harder it will be to control them,” she says.
Bayer sweetened its bid for Monsanto a second time late on Monday, saying it would be willing to pay up to $127.50 a share if a negotiated deal can be reached. That values the target at about $56bn excluding debt, and would rank as the largest takeover attempted by a Germany company, according to Dealogic. But it is unclear whether the offer is high enough to persuade Monsanto to sell.
A takeover would create the world’s largest supplier of seeds and agricultural crop sprays, and Ms Schmidt is not alone in fearing the consequences of such a tie-up. There are fears on both sides of the Atlantic that it could reduce choice for farmers in markets already dominated by a few large companies, and ultimately drive up food prices for consumers.
If the deal goes ahead, “mega-corporation Bayer would be able to decide virtually single-handedly what is grown in our fields and ends up on our plates” says Molly Scott Cato, a Green MEP who has launched an online petition against the deal.
Such misgivings accompany many big corporate tie-ups. What is unusual about Bayer’s move on Monsanto is that it is just the latest of a swath of mega deals that are transforming the global agribusiness sector. Taken together, they could end up having a big impact on the seeds that farmers plant, the herbicides they use and the food we eat.


© FT Graphic / Bloomberg

The industry has already undergone huge consolidation. In 1996, there were 600 independent seed companies: most have since been bought out by bigger players, including the six names — Monsanto, Syngenta, Bayer, DuPont, Dow Chemical and BASF — that now control 63 per cent of the global seed market.
That group could now dwindle to four as falling crop prices and a decline in spending by farmers force a fresh wave of mergers and acquisitions. Dow and DuPont announced a $130bn merger last year, while ChemChina is pursuing a $44bn takeover of Syngenta. Meanwhile PotashCorp, the world’s largest potash supplier, is in merger talks with rival Agrium over creating a near-$30bn fertiliser giant.
The sheer volume of M&A activity is ringing alarm bells in Washington and Brussels. Chuck Grassley, a farmer turned lawmaker who is now chairman of the Senate judiciary committee, has called a hearing for later this month on the mega deals after the agricultural industry expressed concern to him about the potential fallout.
“Federal regulators need to thoroughly consider the implications [for] agriculture, farmers and consumers of such a seismic shift to this industry before they sign off on any transactions,” he said in June.
“Any one of the proposed mergers/acquisitions would probably have been OK,” says Bob Young, chief economist at the American Farm Bureau Federation, which represents US farmers. “But to have them all hit at once … kind of makes one wonder.”
Illustration of the FT Portfolio page
Mr Young particularly worries about the impact on prices for farmers. “The obvious concern is that increased concentration would bring you to the point where they would charge more than would otherwise be the case with more competition,” he says. “Is there ‘enough’ competition left? How do you know?”
John Colley, a professor at Warwick Business School, says: “It is anything but clear how customers will benefit with such a major reduction in suppliers.”
Campaigners also worry about what so much concentration will do to biodiversity. “By increasing the market power of the dominant actors, the diversity of plant varieties available to farmers … is going to shrink further,” says Martin Pigeon, a researcher at Brussels-based lobby group Corporate Europe Observatory.
There is still no certainty that all the proposed deals will actually happen. Monsanto confirmed late on Monday that it had received Bayer’s revised offer, saying it had been engaged in “constructive” discussions with the company. But Bernstein analysts have previously said that Bayer might have to raise its offer to $135 a share before Monsanto agrees to sell.
Meanwhile, last month the European Commission launched an in-depth investigation into whether the Dow-Dupont tie-up would limit competition.
In a sign that regulators in Washington are just as alive to such issues, the US Department of Justice sued Deere & Co last week to block its purchase of Monsanto’s Precision Planting LLC equipment unit, saying it would eliminate competition and raise costs for farmers. Deere said it would contest the move.


Farmer turned US senator Chuck Grassley has expressed concern about the mega deals in the agribusiness sector © Reuters

But some deals are moving ahead more or less on schedule. Last month, ChemChina cleared a big hurdle when the Committee on Foreign Investment, a US government panel that can block deals on national security grounds, approved the Syngenta transaction.
The companies themselves are relaxed about the prospect of antitrust probes. Dow and DuPont, which have agreed to split the combined company into three parts after their proposed merger, said the EU investigation should not delay the closing of the deal.
Bayer, which declined to comment for this article, is also sanguine about the regulatory hurdles. After they revealed their bid in May, executives stressed how well Monsanto’s business complements Bayer’s: the US company is strong in seeds and genetic traits, while the Germany group specialises in crop protection products such as herbicides, fungicides and insecticides.



Bayer chief executive Werner Baumann said in May that almost 60 per cent of Monsanto’s revenues are in the Americas, whereas the Germany company is much bigger in Europe and Asia.
Anyway, said Liam Condon, Bayer’s head of crop science, the combined company could always sell off some small units to address antitrust concerns.
But Mr Colley warns of the risk of regulators making “major demands and concessions” a condition of antitrust approval, in moves that undermine the financial logic of the tie-up. “By the time competition authorities have finished, the deal may well not have been worth doing,” he says.
A Bayer takeover of Monsanto would create a player that is totally dominant in some areas. The deal would combine the two largest cottonseed sellers in the US into a single company, responsible for almost 70 per cent of crop acreage, according to Verdant Partners, a consultancy.



There is also overlap in the two companies’ herbicide-tolerant seeds, Bayer’s LibertyLink and Monsanto’s Roundup Ready. Peter Carstensen, a former justice department antitrust attorney, says that if the two products end up under one roof, there will then be “no incentive for somebody to develop a third alternative”.
Farmers do acknowledge some of the industrial logic behind Bayer’s pursuit of Monsanto — for example, the increasing cost of obtaining regulatory approval for new biotech seeds or chemicals.
Mr Young says that to bring new products on to market in the current regulatory environment, “you need a company with deep pockets. Bringing Bayer and Monsanto together for example should give you those kinds of resources”.
But these mega deals are coming at a delicate time for farmers, particularly in the US. Corn and soyabean prices have fallen so low that producers barely break even. The US Department of Agriculture said last month that net cash farm income would fall in 2016 for the third consecutive year.



Wendell Shauman, 70, who farms 1,000 acres of corn and soyabeans near the Mississippi river in western Illinois, says he would prefer for the mega deals not to go ahead.
“More competition is better,” he says. “We’re in a situation where it strengthens their position and weakens mine. I’d prefer not to be in that situation.”
Additional reporting by Amy Kazmin in New Delhi and Christian Shepherd in Beijing


China seeks Syngenta’s GM expertise

ChemChina received a big boost last month when the Committee on Foreign Investment, the US government panel that reviews purchases of US assets by foreign acquirers on national security grounds, approved its proposed $44bn takeover of Switzerland’s Syngenta.
For the Chinese, the logic of the takeover is impeccable, given that the government is embarking on a big drive to cultivate genetically modified corn for use in the animal feed industry. One of Syngenta’s specialities is GM corn seed.
“The deal gives ChemChina a way to diversify away from agrochemicals into GM seed technology,” said Loren Puette, founder of ChinaAg, a research firm.
“The goal is that GM corn seeds will eventually be adopted in China; they will be an easier sell to general public, because it’s not a traditional grain that is directly consumed like rice.”
That point was echoed by the head of a private Chinese corn trading platform. “The government strategy is … aimed at improving the technical capacity of Chinese agriculture,” said the trader, who declined to be named. “Buying up overseas companies is likely to be mostly about tech transferral and developing safe and efficient seeds.”
The proposed takeover of Syngenta would be China’s biggest overseas transaction, and the Committee on Foreign Investment’s approval — more than 25 per cent of Syngenta’s sales are in North America — has provoked anger at the US National Farmers Union.
Roger Johnson, union president, said it “fails to acknowledge the significant threats to national security and trade that could result from the acquisition”. He said pork exports to China by Smithfield Foods, the US meat producer bought by Shuanghui International in 2013, had risen sharply following the transaction.
“We should be reasonably concerned that ChemChina could provide preferential treatment to Syngenta, which should deleteriously impact the competitiveness of the biotechnology sector,” said Mr Johnson.
Lindsay Whipp in Chicago, Christian Shepherd in Beijing

Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:21 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(5) Deutsche Bank refuses to pay $14bn US penalty — RT Business

https://www.rt.com/business/359528-deutsche-bank-refuses-to-pay/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:21 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(4) 5 gráficas que explican la pérdida de la 'riqueza' petrolera de México | El Financiero

http://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/economia/graficas-que-te-explican-como-esta-la-riqueza-petrolera-de-mexico.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:20 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(3) 'Golden relationship' with China boosted by Hinkley approval | UK news | The Guardian

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/sep/15/china-uk-golden-relationship-hinkley-point-c-nuclear-power
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:19 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(2) Mexican peso eyes new low against US dollar — FT.comarco

https://www.ft.com/content/1ca92c94-c579-3cc2-b66d-1d098026b889
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:18 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(1) How to save capitalism from capitalists — FT.com


https://www.ft.com/content/c69e7972-79c0-11e6-97ae-647294649b28
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:18 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(33) Nueva filtración de WikiLeaks permite acceder a las entrañas del pacto TiSA - RT

https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/218780-filtracion-wikileaks-tisa-ttip-sanciones
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:16 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(32) Silk Road: ‘Iran Seeks Closer Cooperation With Russia, China and India’

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160912/1045224633/iran-china-cooperation.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:12 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(T) PARA TODOS

PARA TODOS  El muro Trump sería construido por Israel
http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2016/09/11/opinion/012o1pol
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:06 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(T) PARA TODOS Diez años antes y después al 11/9: de la unipolaridad a la multipolaridadLa Jornada: Bajo la Lupa

PARA TODOS Diez años antes y después al 11/9: de la unipolaridad a la multipolaridad
http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2011/09/11/opinion/018o1pol
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:05 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(31) US Intelligence Chief: Climate Change Caused the Rise of Terror Groups

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160911/1045184102/us-intelligence-chief-climate-change-terror-groups.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:04 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(30) Mexico considers bill to revoke US treaties if Trump wins election | Alfredo Jalife

http://www.alfredojalife.com/mexico-considers-bill-to-revoke-us-treaties-if-trump-wins-election/
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:02 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(29) Exclusive: Hillary Clinton State Department Emails, Mexico Energy Reform and the Revolving Door | DeSmogBlog

http://www.desmogblog.com/2015/08/07/hillary-clinton-state-department-emails-mexico-energy-reform-revolving-door
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 9:00 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(28) Uberworld | The Economist

http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21706258-worlds-most-valuable-startup-leading-race-transform-future
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:59 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(27) The Economist explains economics: What is the Keynesian multiplier? | The Economist

http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2016/09/economist-explains-economics-3
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:58 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(26) Bank of America nos avisa: "Hay entre un 20% y un 50% de posibilidades que vivimos en 'Matrix'" - RT

https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/218301-bank-america-vivir-matrix
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:57 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(25) "Acuerdo entre productores de petróleo sería derrota para EEUU"

https://mundo.sputniknews.com/mundo/20160908/1063349154/eeuu-petroleo-acuerdo.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:56 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(24) "El objetivo de las sanciones de EEUU contra Rusia es un cambio de régimen en Moscú"

https://mundo.sputniknews.com/politica/20160904/1063246823/sanciones-eeuu-rusia-cambio-regimen.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:56 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(23) Full of Promise, Obama's Pivot to Asia Ends With 'Slap in the Face'

https://sputniknews.com/world/20160908/1045106338/obama-asia-pivot-failure.html
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:54 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest

(22) Bibliografia China y el Medio-Oriente


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Middle East 2030: Three visions for one region (Excerpt GEAB May 2016)
9 September 2016 
After Iran and Turkey, a few weeks ago Saudi Arabia presented its “Visions for the future”, and our team considers it important to integrate the strategic developmental plans of the three major Middle East players in its anticipation work.
What seems of particular interest to our team is:
₋ on one hand (from a pessimistic angle) to anticipate the risks of collision between those plans;
₋ on the other hand (and in a more optimistic tone) to note the public nature of those agendas allowing the players to sit at a table and talk about it.
The GEAB, LEAP’s confidential letter is a monthly bulletin available under subscription. Its contents are not made available to the public until three months later. We offer you the access to this exclusive article from May’s bulletin (GEAB n°105). If you want to read our articles in real time, subscribe to the GEAB! 
First, we will summarize the highlights of each of these Visions. Secondly, the risks of encroachment and collision are raised.
The similarity of these three agendas provides a beautiful example of the dangers presented by the multi-polarization of the world and its major regions. At the same time, there is no doubt that having more global-sized players, who have no other choice but to deal with each other, provides the conditions for a new type of governance.

Figure 1 – Map of the Middle East. Source: google map.
Today, while chaos is reigning in Syria and Iraq, three major protagonists emerge from the conflicted Middle East: Saudi Arabia, Iran and Turkey, three states involved in the Syrian conflict, with common interests regarding the Islamic State, but having different reactions with respect to the Syrian state; three states which have recently launched themselves in the conquest of another dimension, that of the future, of their future and of the future of this wide Middle East region. The most striking is, of course, the one named “Vision 2030″, a programme presented by Saudi Arabia in April, a model of its kind[1].
First of all, it is about their survival and about taking their states out of the economic, financial and social crisis. For Saudi Arabia, it is about coming out of the oil era and about its launching into the exploitation of new resources; for Turkey, it is about getting out of the European bee-eater, while keeping its pivotal role of mediator between Europe, Asia and Africa; for Iran, it is about conquering the world in order to recover its place among the Middle East power states.
Yet, it is also about creating room for the future of their political regimes, with all the faults they might have: absolute monarchy in Saudi Arabia, Mullahs’ regime in Iran, Erdogan’s leadership in Turkey. There is nothing better than projecting the immutability of state governance rules over 20 years.
Yet, whether it is Saudi Arabia, Turkey or Iran, it is primarily about ensuring a predominant role for each of them in the future organization of their region.
Saudi Arabia – Oil crisis; Yemen, Islamic State – Economic, financial and social stagnation, political archaism: on the horizon 2030, collapse or salvation
The oil era has just taken a sudden disturbing turn. The collapse of prices is not only the consequence of a decreased demand (to which the production decline has not been able to put an end), but a change in global paradigms. Indeed, during this global strategic retreat[2], the states seek to limit their dependence, including those related to energy: the United States became the first oil producer, “thanks” to the shale resources[3]; Europe turned to other sources (nuclear, coal, wind, solar and waterpower); new players have entered the market, including Iran.
Figure 2: Energy resources consumption – Source : peakoil.com
 
Burdened by structural debt, Saudi Arabia has to leave the petrodollar kingdom and diversify its energy resources. Some even predict the imminent end of this kingdom[4]: the country introduced late in 2015, for the third year in a row, a budget deficit of 20% of its GDP[5], and the 2016 forecasts do not look much better[6]. This state is burdened with debts, namely those of its princes. The reasons for this financial and economic downturn are, of course, the oil price collapse and also the astronomical costs of the war in Yemen[7]. The war is a military and economic catastrophe, weighing primarily on the future of the younger generation[8] as well as on the risks of social blunders, particularly among immigrant workers (second class citizens[9]).
« Saudi Arabia: the heart of the Arab and Islamic worlds, the investment powerhouse, and the hub connecting three continents… Africa, Asia and Europe »… This is the way the Council of Ministers of King Salman introduced Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030. This is a development strategy which included the new face of Saudi Arabia in the twenty-first century world: modern, responsible (here we find all the issues of our time: ecology, economy, society, sustainability, solidarity…), multi-polar. What is missing, though, is the politico-democratic aspect (and here comes the notion of effectiveness and efficiency of the geostrategic political system of the Kingdom, as well as its agile role).
Finally, “Vision 2030″ aims to give Saudi Arabia a “leadership role” in the Arab and Islamic world, providing it with economic and socially sustainable development. By forging a “nation”, it seeks to become a regional model, as we wrote in the last GEAB[10] “which has transformed the Gulf principalities into free zones and has extended, by pouring in petrodollars, its ideological influence throughout the poor Arab world, whose social fabrics have greatly suffered from this polarization between western modernity and Saudi archaism“. But previously, all this used to happen in the shadows…
Turkey’s central role[11]  
 
Figure 3: Turkey’s central position. Source: Ali Velshi
Turkey, a leading power in the Middle East, directly affected both financially and socially by the geopolitical instability of its environment (Syrian intervention and Kurdish crisis, terrorist attacks and tourism decline, Russian sanctions against Ankara, mass numbers of refugees costing it $10 billion[12]) however has managed so far to maintain a moderate growth[13].
After negotiating with the EU the sealing of its borders against the flow of refugees and the visa liberalization for its citizens, Turkey is turning its back on Europe (marked by the ouster of its too pro-European Prime Minister, Ahmet Davutoglu)[14]. At the same time, it remains beneficiary of an important and traditional European financial windfall, which increased by six billion Euros with the refugee crisis in 2016/2017 (security has a price: Turkey is a direct step to the Schengen area in Europe and welcomes more than 2.5 million Syrian and Iraqi refugees[15], knowing that Lebanon welcomes only just more than one million and Jordan a little more than 600,000 – figures which obviously need to be connected to the national populations of those states).
Certainly, fulfilling the conditions for joining the EU in 2023 represents the first point of the “Vision 2023″ programme (hence its name). However, besides the economic objectives which were recently recalled within nine points, the whole project is about the central role of Turkey in the region: economic and security cooperation, conflict resolution, global positioning, G10 integration and a major role in international organizations[16]… and in the Islamic world[17].
Iran: Persian Channel, Silk Road and even BRICS agenda – “back in the game”[18]
 

Figure 4: The new Silk Road, toward Iran. Source: the International Network
Iran’s international relations with the rest of the world are getting back to normal, except with the United States[19] and its allies in the Arab world (and Israel). These nations are questioning the religious differences and Iran’s hegemony, when in fact it is much more about keeping the economic appetite of this re-emerging country behind the wall created by international sanctions, a wall which has just fallen, as we all know[20]. While the oil embargo was lifted, opening the doors to exportations, Iran prefers higher prices to maximize the income of its production. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, wants to keep prices as low as possible to compete with the price of the US shale[21].
That said, Iran’s return on the international stage after ten years of total blackout is definitely more of an opportunity for the country and for the world – the Europeans are not the last ones to ogle this new market, by the way[22], a promising market not only for oil resources, but also for rare mining treasures[23]. Also, it is interesting to note that, during the oil and trans-regional geopolitical crisis, Iran decided to take all possible advantage of its resources, without having to bear the same constraints as the American allies. Here we have a new opening market, free of western influence, detached from the petrodollar[24] (unlike Saudi Arabia[25]), which resolutely turns toward the emerging Asian world, to which it represents the first continental step[26].
Iran, with a population which is very young but growing in figures, frustrated by an unemployment rate of about 40%, with aging political leaders and systems, overnight has become an essential and central actor in the Middle East, imposing very serious developmental strategies.
During the last national conference on geopolitical developments in West Asia, Iran confirmed its strategy of   turning resolutely toward Asia and of forming a grand coalition with the Asian powers[27], Russia, China, India and Pakistan, reconsidering at the same time a rapprochement with Turkey[28]. Iran is already one of the destinations of the Silk Road[29], a project which will fully root this country into the Asian continent. Iran plans to intensify its relations with India[30] and with Russia (through a channel-building project, connecting the Caspian Sea to the Persian Gulf[31]). Those are strategies relying on the multi-polar world, allowing the country to develop and avoid being trapped into an economy based on oil[32], but also to establish its leadership role and contribute, at the same time, to the emergence of conditions for regional stabilization and peace[33].
Unlike Saudi Arabia or Turkey, Iran can rely on its new agile and flexible economy, thanks to the fact that it does not systemically rely on the dollar world.
Modern, ambitious and multi-polar programmes
The “Visions” 2030 are presented as scale model economic, financial and technological projects, intended to ensure the development of the countries concerned. They are primarily conceived as bringing these countries into the G10, G20, at the global level, transforming them into major continental powers to take into account when speaking of geopolitical relations in the world.
Mega-projects: mega-bank, mega-channel, mega-extension of Mecca, mega financial hub… we are facing here powers which own the means and tools meeting the new paradigms of the twenty-first century’s modernity. The political and democratic aspects need some facelifts in order to allow people to join: Saudi Arabia is currently renewing its political class[34] by planning before 2020 the training of more than 500,000 civil servants[35] and by implementing a wide system of NGOs and volunteers who will support the Prince’s entire visionary project[36]. As for the democratic future of Turkey or Iran, the systemic changes will not be able to ensure the economic sustainability and the social stability without democratization. Moreover, the regional aspirations of these three players will imply that they also become political and social stability models. Unless there is a wish to build an empire, and thereby perpetuate the logic of war, people cannot guide the world without respecting the rights and freedoms of others. That’s the whole point of the multi-polar world, in fact.
If these programmes are part of the movement named the “great global strategic retreat”, as mentioned in our previous bulletins[37], it is clear that they must incorporate and get integrated into the multi-polar reality of the world, a multi-polarity which also applies to the Middle Eastern region. We therefore have three states claiming the same central position, the same pivotal role connecting three continents, Europe, Asia and Africa, counting on their preferred networks and partners. Saudi Arabia uses the Egyptian support, Iran uses Asia, and Turkey uses the European platform.
Mega-budget powers in terms of defence and security[38]: a future tinderbox
Placed at the heart of the Middle East tinderbox, directly involved in the conflict against the IS, Riyadh, Ankara and Tehran are armed to the teeth. The defence and arms budgets explode in Saudi Arabia, due to the Yemen war.
Erdogan in his fight against Daech is being forced to cooperate more with his army (the eighth army in the world and first in the Middle East) and thereby enables the military power to regain control of the Kurdish politics of Turkey. The war against the PKK in the Kurdish region has produced more than 500,000 internal refugees[39], increasing internal chaos, civil war and riots. As for Iran, while signing military procurement agreements with Russia[40], the parliament has, in the same spirit, given the green light for the country’s new defensive capacity building programme, by allocating 5% of the total budget to the financing plan of the Iranian defence complex[41].
We could legitimately worry about the military face of the three states, especially since their 2030 agendas clearly show that this entire military arsenal is intended to be produced by each of the three countries, in order to avoid any dependence on international contracts.
In 2030, arms dealers will have to worry, because most probably each state will be able to produce its own weapons and launch its own high-tech drone squadrons into the air, but especially international organizations should worry about such deployment of risky and uncontrollable death producing technologies.
Yet, we’re not even talking about nuclear proliferation. Of course, one thinks first of accusing Iran of developing its ballistic[42] missile program, but let’s face it, Saudi Arabia holds its own nuclear weapons[43] (reinforced by Donald Trump’s statements[44]), and Turkey, if it does not produce weapons itself, is suspected of holding some American bombs[45], NATO commands…
Hegemonic temptations of 2030/2036 agendas…
None of the three states is hiding its ambition to play the role of “leader” in the region, or even beyond that. This is how the Council of Ministers of King Salman introduced the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030: “Saudi Arabia at the heart of the Arab and Islamic worlds, an economic powerhouse, the hub that connects three continents, Africa, Asia and Europe”…
The same status is given to Erdogan’s Turkey, which occupies the best place for the East-West and North-South relations, meaning a market of 1.5 billion consumers in Europe, Eurasia, the Middle East and North Africa[46], willing to host in Istanbul in 2020 the Islamic Mega-bank[47]. There is also Rohani’s Iran, which claims to be part of the “Muslim” world[48] and projects itself into an Asian space.
As we have seen it above, Saudi Arabia uses the Egyptian support, while Iran uses Asian support, and Turkey is using Europe in its favour. Yet, all of them are addressing the entire Muslim or Islamic world, eyes pointed to the Middle East, this land which has continued to survive the upheavals of history, lining up one conflict after another, until this common enemy, and hopefully the last, Daech, an enemy bringing chaos in the Arab, Muslim, all-faith, all-sect, all-everything worlds.
Upon this community of interests, tempting Saudi Arabia, Iran and Turkey to become each the major player in the region, a new Middle East will emerge, open to multi-polar perspectives, to Asia, Russia, Europe, but also Africa, the latter firmly focused on its elder “brothers” creating more hopes around them than around the former colonizers and neo-colonizers[49].
Nevertheless, one more black hole should be avoided: the return of a US policy which has forsaken the land of the Middle East during the presidential campaign (a 6 month break, already) and has allowed Obama to finally implement his own geopolitical strategy, by defining himself the enemies or friends of the United States. In November, all this might change. Whether we are talking about Hillary Clinton, the well known anti-Iranian candidate, or Donald Trump[50], who continues to lambast Obama for abandoning the “friends” of the United States (Israel, Saudi Arabia), while at the same time he is threatening them to ask for explanations (mostly from the Muslim or Islamist “friends”), the risks of new upheaval partnerships, with new chaotic perspectives in this region, are higher and higher. Only then will long-term perspectives for the region really be determined.
Yet, we feel that the players are tired of waiting for Godot, and that their young populations aspire to other horizons, with the risk of falling into another dimension. The Middle East region should finally enjoy the “momentum” and consider now its own pacification tracks[51].
 

[1]              The entire English text here Al Arabiya, 26/04/2016.
[2]     According to the GEAB 101, 15/01/2016.
[3]     Source: Les Echos, 10/06/2015.
[4]     Source: Le Saker Francophone, 06/03/2016.
[5]     Saudi Arabia is sinking in its budget deficit. Source: Les Echos, 28/12/2015.
[6]     The debt grade was lowered to « AA- ». Source: La Presse.ca, 12/04/2016.
[7]     Source: Opex, 29/12/2015. Leading weapon importer in the world, Saudi Arabia dedicates a quarter of its budget to the state’s defence and security, meaning 10.7% of its GDP. Source: La Banque Mondiale.
[8]     Three quarters of the population is less than 30 years old and 60% less than 25 years old, the demographic curve going up. Source: United Nations, Demographic Components of Future Population Growth.
[9]     Considering the violent riots of the 50,000 foreign employees of the Bin Laden Group who were asked to pack and leave the country, knowing they had not been paid for months. Source: Middle East Eye, 01/05/2016.
[10]     Source: GEAB 104
[11]     Title given to the GEAB 98, October 15, 2015
[12]     Source: Al Monitor, 13/05/2016.
[13]     Source: WSJ, 31/03/2016.
[14]       Source: LSE, 10/05/2016
[15]     Source: Commission européenne
[16]   Source: Foreign Affairs, 2013
[17]   By creating an Islamic Mega-bank in Istanbul. Source: NEX, 13/05/2016.
[18]   Similar title, the Arabian Business, 11/03/2016.
[19]              Source : 24heures.ch, 27/04/2016
[20]     Read on the same topic: « Le bras de fer entre l’Arabie saoudite et l’Iran n’est pas vraiment sectaire ». Source: MiddleEastEye, 13/01/2016
[21]   Source: MiddleEastEye, 13/01/2016
[22]   Germany is the first recipient and should benefit from the Iranian exports of 2 billion Euros over 2015-2017. It is followed by France, Italy and the UK. Source: Le Monde, 25/01/2016.
[23]   One of the leading 15 gold resources, but counting also on many more different minerals (around 68). Source: Rare Gold Nuggets
[24]   Source: Indian Times
[25]   Source: Les Echos, 25/04/2016.
[26]   Source: Teheran Times, 08/05/2016.
[27]   Source: Iran Daily, 28/04/2016.
[28]   Source: Mehr News, 12/05/2016.
[29]   First Chinese train arrived in Teheran on February 15, 2016. Source: Europe1, 15/02/2016.
[30]   Source: Times of India, 01/05/2016.
[31]   Source: Russian Today, 11/04/2016.
[32]   Iran’s sustained prosperity must be built on a non-oil economy. Source: Mehr News, 01/05/2016.
[33]   Source: Mehr News, 03/02/2016.
[34]   Mohammed Ibn Salman Al Saudi, Vice-Heir Prince, Minister of Defence, Second Vice-Prime Minister, President of the Economic Affairs Council, in charge of the oil and economic policies of the Kingdom, is only 31 years old. Source: Wikipedia. Another example would be the Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi, 81 years old and having ruled for 21 years. Source: SZ.de, 10/05/2016.
[35]   Source: Vision 2030 § 3.1.5
[36]   « Among our commitments: A more impactful non-profit sector », Vision 2030 § 3.2.3
[37]   And here, before the « hard-landing » of Saudi Arabia or the integrant spirit of Iran. Source GEAB 101, 15/01/2016.
[38]   Read also « Les dépenses mondiales d’armement s’envolent ». Source: L’Economiste, 22/02/2016.
[39]   Source: Zaman France, 28/05/2016.
[40]   Source: RBTH, 18/02/2016.
[41]   Source: Sputnik, 05/05/2016.
[42]   Source: Tribune de Genève, 09/05/2016.
[43]   In 2013, we were asking ourselves about the origin of these weapons. Source: BBC, 06/11/2013.
[44]   Source: Breitbart, 29/03/2016.
...

[Message clipped]  View entire message
Publicadas por Chinampa Digital a la/s 8:53 p.m. No hay comentarios.:
Enviar esto por correo electrónicoBlogThis!Compartir en XCompartir en FacebookCompartir en Pinterest
Entradas más recientes Entradas antiguas Página Principal
Suscribirse a: Entradas (Atom)

Acerca de mí

Mi foto
Chinampa Digital
Ver mi perfil completo

Archivo del Blog

  • ►  2017 (594)
    • ►  30 abr - 7 may (3)
    • ►  23 abr - 30 abr (28)
    • ►  16 abr - 23 abr (90)
    • ►  9 abr - 16 abr (52)
    • ►  2 abr - 9 abr (19)
    • ►  26 mar - 2 abr (20)
    • ►  19 mar - 26 mar (32)
    • ►  12 mar - 19 mar (31)
    • ►  5 mar - 12 mar (50)
    • ►  26 feb - 5 mar (40)
    • ►  19 feb - 26 feb (70)
    • ►  12 feb - 19 feb (54)
    • ►  5 feb - 12 feb (82)
    • ►  29 ene - 5 feb (23)
  • ▼  2016 (373)
    • ►  27 nov - 4 dic (2)
    • ►  20 nov - 27 nov (26)
    • ►  13 nov - 20 nov (57)
    • ►  6 nov - 13 nov (28)
    • ►  30 oct - 6 nov (21)
    • ►  23 oct - 30 oct (8)
    • ►  16 oct - 23 oct (14)
    • ►  9 oct - 16 oct (12)
    • ►  2 oct - 9 oct (18)
    • ►  25 sept - 2 oct (28)
    • ▼  18 sept - 25 sept (74)
      • (18) The Deep State’s Candidate? - The Unz Review
      • (17) POLITICO-Harvard poll: Amid Trump's rise, GOP...
      • (16) Blockbuster Poll: Americans Reject Obama-Clin...
      • (15) 2008 Crisis Deepened the Ties Between Clinton...
      • (14) China city commercial banks' assets total $3....
      • (13) How to not spend it | The Economist
      • (12) Won’t pay! Can’t pay? | The Economist
      • (11) In Defense of High Frequency Trading
      • (10) ¿Y si Trump fuera presidente? | El Economista
      • (09) FDIC Flags Deutsche Bank's Wild Leverage Rati...
      • (08) ¿Por qué México no consigue frenar el desplom...
      • (07) Alfredo Jalife Rahme compartió un enlace: The...
      • (06) Clinton's Illness, Trump's Strength Cited by ...
      • (05) TISALeaks: nueva filtración sobre las negocia...
      • (04) ‘A danger for dinner plates’: Top French chef...
      • (03) Bayer evalúa eliminar nombre Monsanto por pro...
      • (02) La Jornada: Bajo la Lupa
      • (01) Does China’s debt signal an impending crisis?...
      • (33) PressTV-‘Clinton is chief emissary for global...
      • (32) Si hoy te preocupa la volatilidad del peso, e...
      • (31) People's Daily criticizes U.S. as "source of ...
      • (30) China to invest $450 billion in agriculture —...
      • (29) Obama: Failure to Pass TPP Benefits Beijing |...
      • (28) bibliografia The Telegraph
      • (27) Global bond issuance highest in nearly a deca...
      • (26) ASEAN: Further Apart, Not Closer Together | S...
      • (25) East Asia: Where Eastern and Western Ambition...
      • (24) Why the Eurasian Union Will Never Be the EU |...
      • (23) East Africa: Where Ambition Meets Reality | S...
      • (22) ASEAN: The Limits of Consensus | Stratfor
      • (21) The Gulf Cooperation Council: Finding Safety ...
      • (20) Mercosur: At the Mercy of Other Markets | Str...
      • (19) The European Union: A Cautionary Tale | Stratfor
      • (18) NAFTA: Capitalizing on Natural Advantages | S...
      • (17) Adquisición telúrica de Monsanto por Bayer El...
      • (16) Gold Yuan: Post-Dollar World Order Emerging i...
      • (15) US economy may be ruined by 'crazies', warns ...
      • (14) 'Menos Pokémon y más amor': "Bomba de tiempo"...
      • (13) El país donde el número de jóvenes solteros y...
      • (12) La Jornada: Bajo la lupa
      • (11) The rise of the superstars | The Economist
      • (10) A giant problem | The Economist
      • (9) Bibliografía
      • (8) The $956 billion farm bill, in one graph - The...
      • (7) Central Bank Digital Currencies: A Revolution ...
      • (6) Farmers sound alarm over mega deals
      • (5) Deutsche Bank refuses to pay $14bn US penalty ...
      • (4) 5 gráficas que explican la pérdida de la 'riqu...
      • (3) 'Golden relationship' with China boosted by Hi...
      • (2) Mexican peso eyes new low against US dollar — ...
      • (1) How to save capitalism from capitalists — FT.com
      • (33) Nueva filtración de WikiLeaks permite acceder...
      • (32) Silk Road: ‘Iran Seeks Closer Cooperation Wit...
      • (T) PARA TODOS
      • (T) PARA TODOS Diez años antes y después al 11/9: ...
      • (31) US Intelligence Chief: Climate Change Caused ...
      • (30) Mexico considers bill to revoke US treaties i...
      • (29) Exclusive: Hillary Clinton State Department E...
      • (28) Uberworld | The Economist
      • (27) The Economist explains economics: What is the...
      • (26) Bank of America nos avisa: "Hay entre un 20% ...
      • (25) "Acuerdo entre productores de petróleo sería ...
      • (24) "El objetivo de las sanciones de EEUU contra ...
      • (23) Full of Promise, Obama's Pivot to Asia Ends W...
      • (22) Bibliografia China y el Medio-Oriente
      • (21) ASEAN: Obama Reaffirms US Role in South China...
      • (20) Britain's Status as a Declining Power Confirm...
      • (19) Los Rothschild han perdido el control sobre l...
      • (18) South China Sea row tops ASEAN summit agenda ...
      • (17) ¿Qué es esa 'misteriosa sustancia verde' que ...
      • (16) The Transatlantic Trade & Investment Partners...
      • (15) India watches anxiously as Chinese influence ...
      • (T) PARA TODOS The tide of globalisation is turnin...
      • (14) La Jornada: Bajo la Lupa
    • ►  4 sept - 11 sept (55)
    • ►  21 ago - 28 ago (30)
Tema Sencillo. Con tecnología de Blogger.